Senegal will host Burundi on Tuesday at Stade Me Abdoulaye Wade in the final game of the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) qualifiers. Although neither team’s qualification status is on the line, this game still offers valuable insights for bettors. Let’s break down the odds and predictions to help you make an informed bet on Bangbet.
Senegal’s Strong Form
Senegal enters this match with a 1.13 odds of winning, which gives them an 83% chance of victory. The Lions of Teranga have been in excellent form, securing their AFCON spot earlier in the qualifiers. Their recent 1-0 victory over Burkina Faso saw them top their group, even with a game in hand. They are undefeated in their last 17 matches, with four consecutive wins.
Senegal will aim to finish the qualifiers with a perfect record. Coach Pape Thiaw is likely to make some changes, but the squad’s quality and depth remain formidable. Their previous dominance over Burundi—having won all three of their past encounters—also supports their strong position.
Burundi’s Struggles
Burundi, on the other hand, comes into this match with a 19.00 odds of winning, giving them just a 5% chance of victory. After a promising start to the qualifiers, Les Hirondelles have faltered.
They have not won a match since their 3-2 victory over Malawi in September, and their hopes of qualifying for AFCON have been dashed. A goalless draw with Malawi last week ended their three-match losing streak, but their winless run now stretches to four matches.
Burundi’s only victory in the qualifiers came away from home, but facing Senegal in Dakar is a completely different challenge. They lost 3-1 during their only previous visit in 2015. With the pressure off, Burundi will be playing for pride, but securing a result away at Senegal seems highly unlikely.
Draw Probability
A draw is priced at 8.80 on Bangbet, which gives it a 12% chance of occurring. While a draw could be enough for Senegal to maintain their top spot in the group, it’s unlikely to happen given their current form. Even if they field fringe players, their squad depth and quality should overpower a Burundi side struggling to gain momentum.
Key Factors to Consider
- Senegal’s Depth and Confidence
Senegal has a wealth of talent to choose from. Their unbeaten run since September 2023, including four consecutive wins, shows just how strong they are, even when not at full strength. With a 100% win record over Burundi in previous encounters, they will be the overwhelming favorites. - Burundi’s Away Form
Burundi’s only victory in the qualifiers came away from home, but their record against Senegal in Dakar remains poor. The task of upsetting Senegal in their own backyard is daunting, especially given Senegal’s depth and recent form. - Senegal’s Motivation
Although Senegal has already qualified for AFCON, they still have the motivation of finishing top of the group. A draw would suffice for them, but their goal will be to secure all three points and finish their campaign on a high.
Betting Prediction
With a strong squad, good form, and home advantage, Senegal is heavily favored to win. The odds of 1.13 reflect their 83% chance of victory.
Although Burundi will be determined to end their qualification campaign on a positive note, their lack of form and quality will make it difficult to get anything from this match. Our prediction is a comfortable Senegal win.