As the Premier League curtain rises on the new season, Newcastle United host newly promoted Southampton at St James’ Park. With last season’s FA Cup triumph denying Newcastle a European berth, Eddie Howe is now fully focused on returning his side to the continental stage. Despite challenges in the transfer market due to Premier League PSR rules, there is optimism on Tyneside with key players, such as Sandro Tonali, nearing a return from a betting ban.
Newcastle’s Home Advantage
Newcastle United’s home form is a significant factor in this opening fixture. The Magpies have been formidable at St James’ Park, remaining unbeaten in their last eight competitive games there (W4, D4). Their record against newly promoted sides is particularly impressive, having scored at least four goals in two of these encounters. With the support of their passionate home crowd and the momentum from their recent performances, Newcastle will be eager to start the season on a high note.
Southampton’s Tough Challenge
Southampton faces a daunting task as they travel nearly 300 miles to the North East. The Saints, having just been promoted, are under pressure to defy the trend that saw all three promoted sides from last season’s Premier League relegated. Manager Russell Martin, making his Premier League debut, has hinted at strategic plans to outwit Newcastle. His astute signings, including key play-off final loanees and experienced Premier League veterans like Charlie Taylor and Adam Lallana, bring a wealth of experience to the squad.
Despite these additions, Southampton’s recent record at St. James’ Park is concerning. They are winless in their last eight visits to this venue (D2, L6). With a historical trend of Championship play-off final winners struggling in their opening Premier League matches, Southampton’s task becomes even more challenging.
Key Players to Watch
For Newcastle, Alexander Isak is the man to watch. The Swedish striker scored five goals against newly promoted teams last season, with four of these coming after half-time. His ability to make an impact in the latter stages of the game could prove crucial.
On the other hand, Southampton’s Adam Armstrong, a boyhood Newcastle fan and hero from the play-off final, has had a tough time against his former club. In nine meetings with Newcastle, Armstrong has yet to secure a victory (D2, L7). His performance will be pivotal if Southampton hopes to break their winless streak at St James’ Park.
Prediction
Given Newcastle’s strong home form, their historical advantage against newly-promoted teams, and Southampton’s recent struggles at St James’ Park, the smart money is on a Newcastle victory. With the Magpies determined to make a statement on the opening day and Southampton still finding their feet in the Premier League, a Newcastle win seems the most likely outcome.
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