The UEFA Nations League (UNL) quarter-finals are here, and one of the most anticipated matchups is Croatia vs. France. This thrilling first-leg encounter will take place on Croatian soil, where Zlatko Dalić’s side will aim to overcome their underwhelming recent form. France, on the other hand, will be looking to continue their dominant run and edge closer to reclaiming the UNL crown.
Croatia’s Resilience at Home
Despite failing to win any of their last three matches (D2, L1), Croatia managed to secure second place in Group A1 behind Portugal. Their home form in this competition remains solid, with three wins and a draw in their last four UNL home fixtures. This should give them confidence heading into the clash against the mighty French squad.
Experience is on Croatia’s side, as they made it to the final of the previous UNL edition. However, they face a daunting historical challenge—France has dominated this head-to-head (H2H) fixture, winning six of the last ten meetings (D3, L1). The silver lining? Croatia’s only victory in this period came in March 2022, a match that could serve as a confidence booster.
France’s Quest for Another UNL Title
Didier Deschamps’ men have been a force to reckon with in this competition, securing top spot in Group A2 after an emphatic 3-1 away win against Italy. France is unbeaten in five UNL matches (W4, D1), with their last three victories coming on the road, highlighting their strength in away fixtures.
Les Bleus failed to progress past the group stage in the last UNL edition, but they are back with a vengeance, eyeing the record of becoming the first nation to win the tournament twice. The last time these two teams met in the UNL, France completed a double over Croatia with a convincing 6-3 aggregate victory.
Key Players to Watch
- Luka Modrić (Croatia) – The midfield maestro scored the winning goal in Croatia’s last victory over France and also found the net in a crucial home win against Poland. His experience and leadership will be key in this high-stakes fixture.
- Kylian Mbappé (France) – Returning to the French squad after missing the last international break, the Real Madrid star has been in lethal form, scoring three goals in his last three club matches. His pace and finishing ability make him a constant threat.
Tactical Breakdown & Prediction
Expect France to start aggressively, as they have scored first-half goals in each of their last three UNL wins. Croatia, known for their structured and disciplined gameplay, will rely on their experienced midfield to control the tempo and limit France’s attacking threats.
France’s defense has been shaky outside their home turf, failing to keep a clean sheet in their last eight UNL away games. This opens the door for Croatia to exploit gaps, especially with the creative presence of Modrić and the attacking prowess of Andrej Kramarić.
Final Prediction:
Croatia 1-2 France
France’s attacking firepower and experience should give them the upper hand in this first-leg battle, but Croatia is more than capable of making it a close contest. Expect an exciting match with chances at both ends.
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Conclusion
Croatia vs. France is set to be a fiery battle, with both teams having their sights set on UNL glory. While Croatia’s home form is impressive, France’s attacking strength and recent dominance in this fixture make them slight favorites. Whatever happens, fans are in for an electrifying match!
