Empoli’s Serie A campaign started with promise, going unbeaten in their first six games (W2, D4). However, their form has taken a drastic dip, with only two league wins since, leaving them dangerously close to the relegation zone. A winless run of eight matches (D2, L6) has heightened concerns, and things look grim as they face a dominant AC Milan side.
History is not on Empoli’s side, either. Their last home victory over Milan dates back to January 1986, and they have only managed one win in their last 16 meetings with the Rossoneri (D5, L10). Despite showing glimpses of competitiveness by taking the lead against Juventus and Bologna recently, they failed to hold on and remain winless against teams in the top eight this season (D4, L7).g
AC Milan’s Mission to Avoid Unwanted History
AC Milan had their hearts broken in the Milan derby last weekend, conceding in stoppage time against Inter Milan to settle for a frustrating draw. While they managed to bounce back with a Coppa Italia victory over Roma, their inconsistency in the league has left them chasing a spot in European competitions.
A significant concern for Milan is their recent away form, having lost their last two games on the road in all competitions. They now face the possibility of three consecutive away defeats for the first time since May 2015. However, history favors them against Empoli, as they have kept four consecutive clean sheets against the Azzurri in Serie A—one more will equal their all-time defensive record against Pisa from 1988 to 1991.
Key Players to Watch
- Mattia De Sciglio (Empoli) – The former Milan man has made more appearances for the Rossoneri (133) than any other club. He proved he can haunt his former sides when he scored against Juventus last weekend, marking his first goal in three years.
- João Félix (AC Milan) – The Portuguese forward announced his arrival at Milan with a goal in midweek. However, he hasn’t scored in back-to-back games since November 2023, and fans will be eager to see if he can change that against Empoli.
Hot Stat & Betting Insights
- Milan have picked up the first yellow card in eight of their last nine away games, making a booking market bet an interesting option.
- Empoli’s struggles against top teams suggest that a Milan win is likely.
- Milan’s defense has been solid against Empoli, keeping clean sheets in their last four meetings.
Match Prediction: Empoli 0-2 AC Milan
Milan’s defensive record against Empoli and their desperation to return to winning ways should give them the upper hand. Expect a controlled performance from the Rossoneri, with Empoli struggling to break through.
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